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What predicts an SBA loan charge-off?

We analyzed the 919,729 SBA 7(a) loans in the public data that report charge-off status to ask a simple question: what actually lines up with a loan being charged off? (504 loans do not report charge-offs.) The starkest pattern is at the lender level: among major SBA lenders, charge-off track records span from 0.01% to 14.16%, a spread of about 1,416 times. Three more patterns are clear, and one popular assumption does not hold.

By Mario Bailey · Source: SBA FOIA 7(a) and 504 data, as of 2026-03-31

Published · Updated

How to read this. A charge-off is a loan the lender has written off as a loss. Recent loans have not finished seasoning, so the charge-off rates below understate lifetime rates; the useful signal is the relative pattern across groups and lenders, all measured the same way. These are correlations, not causes.

1. Which lenders have the best and worst charge-off track records

Among the 121 major SBA lenders in the data (those with at least 1,000 funded 7(a) loans since FY2010), 7(a) charge-off rates run from 0.01% to 14.16%, a spread of about 1,416 times. That is far wider than the overall 7(a) charge-off rate across every lender in the data, 3.97%.

The exact metric. Charge-off rate = charged-off 7(a) loans ÷ funded 7(a) loans, cumulative FY2010 to 2026-03-31. Only 7(a) loans report charge-off status (the 504 dataset never carries it), so every rate on this page is 7(a)-only, even for lenders that also do 504 lending. It is a book-to-date figure, not a seasoned or lifetime rate, and it is not adjusted for a lender's mix of loan size, industry, or borrower risk.

The best track records

These major lenders have funded the fewest charged-off loans relative to their 7(a) volume.

1. Newtek Bank, National Association 0.01% · 12,026 7(a) loans
2. Harvest Small Business Finance, LLC 0.15% · 2,707 7(a) loans
4. Enterprise Bank & Trust 0.61% · 5,258 7(a) loans
5. GBank 0.65% · 1,073 7(a) loans
6. Open Bank 0.86% · 2,091 7(a) loans

These lenders skew toward larger, more collateralized 7(a) loans: the top five average $1,073,596 per loan, versus $582,929 across all 120 major lenders in this ranking.

The high end: strategy, not a scorecard

A high charge-off rate here usually reflects a lender's strategy, not the quality of its underwriting. Loans under $50k charge off at 5.9%, more than 8 times the 0.7% rate on loans of $5M and up (see finding 2 below). A lender built to fund thousands of small, thin-file, or program-specific loans will show a higher book rate than one funding a few large, collateralized deals, even when both underwrite responsibly. This is not a "worst lenders" list; it is a map of who each lender is built to serve.

1. VelocitySBA, LLC 14.16% · 6,009 7(a) loans

A non-bank SBLC (Small Business Lending Company), one of 14 entities the SBA licenses to make 7(a) loans outside the banking system. Non-bank SBLCs specialize in smaller, harder-to-place 7(a) loans that banks pass on.

2. CDC Small Business Finance Corp. 10.54% · 2,581 7(a) loans

The nation's top SBA 7(a) Community Advantage lender, a mission-based program built to reach thin-file and underserved borrowers that conventional underwriting screens out. An elevated rate is close to the point of the program, not a failure of it.

3. Celtic Bank Corporation 9.38% · 13,886 7(a) loans

A high-volume, small-dollar SBA lender that originates loans through fintech-platform partners at scale; volume-and-partner models trade a higher book rate for reach.

4. TD Bank, National Association 8.52% · 32,645 7(a) loans

The single most active 7(a) lender in this data by loan count (32,645 loans since FY2010); running that much small-loan volume shows up as a higher book rate even with disciplined underwriting.

5. Simmons Bank 8.34% · 4,066 7(a) loans
6. BayFirst National Bank 8.05% · 13,744 7(a) loans

Ran Bolt, a publicly documented small-balance 7(a) program for loans up to $150,000. BayFirst discontinued Bolt in August 2025 after losses concentrated in that book, and said so in its own public disclosures.

What this leaderboard is not.
  • Not a full risk picture: it covers 7(a) loans only, so a lender's 504 book (if any) is not reflected.
  • Not seasoned: it is a cumulative rate over FY2010–2026 originations, not adjusted for how long each loan has had to season. A young book understates its eventual rate.
  • Not normalized: names are not deduplicated across mergers or rebrands, and rate is not adjusted for a lender's mix of loan size, industry, or borrower risk.
  • Not a verdict on quality: a higher rate usually reflects who and how a lender chooses to fund, as described above.
  • Not a prediction: this is a historical statistic about loans already funded, not a forecast for any current or future loan.

A methodology note on names. The SBA does not normalize lender names across entities, mergers, or rebrands, so our per-name rollup can occasionally blend two or more unrelated institutions that share a name into a single row. We test every extreme row in this ranking for that signature (a rate far outside the normal range for major lenders, combined with loan volume that is not concentrated in any single state, i.e. no plausible single branch network behind the number) and exclude any row that fails the test from this leaderboard. 1 row was excluded from the 121 lenders that otherwise met the major-lender bar, for this reason, in the current data.

The full major-lender leaderboard

All 120 major lenders that passed the name-normalization check above, ranked by 7(a) charge-off rate. Search for a specific lender or sort by any column.

# Lender 7(a) charge-off 7(a) loans
1 Newtek Bank, National Association 0.01% 12,026
2 Harvest Small Business Finance, LLC 0.15% 2,707
3 CenTrust Bank, A Division of SmartBiz Bank National Association 0.27% 1,115
4 Enterprise Bank & Trust 0.61% 5,258
5 GBank 0.65% 1,073
6 Open Bank 0.86% 2,091
7 City National Bank 0.91% 1,096
8 Washington Trust Bank 0.91% 1,104
9 TowneBank 0.94% 1,376
10 Bank of America, National Association 0.96% 6,699
11 First Bank of the Lake 0.99% 2,429
12 Live Oak Banking Company 1.09% 17,169
13 Lendistry SBLC, LLC 1.19% 3,533
14 Hancock Whitney Bank 1.19% 1,180
15 Commonwealth Business Bank 1.21% 2,489
16 Commerce Bank 1.30% 1,081
17 Readycap Lending, LLC 1.33% 11,094
18 Metro City Bank 1.38% 2,618
19 Northwest Bank 1.50% 2,272
20 First Community Bank 1.52% 1,188
21 Bangor Savings Bank 1.57% 1,207
22 HomeTrust Bank 1.59% 1,005
23 First Commonwealth Bank 1.73% 1,852
24 PromiseOne Bank 1.74% 1,147
25 Rockland Trust Company 1.74% 2,008
26 Glacier Bank 1.76% 3,407
27 Citibank, N.A. 1.76% 1,929
28 PCB Bank 1.81% 2,490
29 Plumas Bank 1.83% 1,201
30 1st Source Bank 1.85% 1,943
31 First Internet Bank of Indiana 1.86% 2,045
32 BOKF, National Association 1.87% 1,071
33 BMO Bank National Association 1.89% 4,436
34 SouthState Bank, National Association 1.90% 4,209
35 Community Banks of Colorado, A Division of NBH Bank 2.01% 1,093
36 Webster Bank National Association 2.02% 2,727
37 FinWise Bank 2.03% 1,036
38 Colony Bank 2.13% 1,269
39 Nicolet National Bank 2.16% 1,345
40 Mountain America FCU 2.17% 2,355
41 Northeast Bank 2.21% 15,468
42 Banner Bank 2.29% 3,755
43 Banco Popular de Puerto Rico 2.31% 4,681
44 Bank Five Nine 2.42% 2,729
45 United Business Bank 2.43% 1,442
46 Wallis Bank 2.44% 1,350
47 BancFirst 2.44% 1,924
48 KeyBank National Association 2.59% 12,187
49 NewBank 2.59% 1,581
50 First American Bank 2.64% 1,098
51 Old National Bank 2.66% 3,873
52 Banc of California 2.75% 2,366
53 First Financial Bank 2.76% 5,398
54 Citizens Bank, National Association 2.78% 6,051
55 First Merchants Bank 2.80% 2,140
56 Citizens Bank 2.81% 2,281
57 First National Bank of Omaha 2.85% 1,299
58 Associated Bank, National Association 2.87% 2,128
59 Atlantic Union Bank 2.96% 1,082
60 The Huntington National Bank 3.02% 81,618
61 United Community Bank 3.02% 2,847
62 East West Bank 3.06% 2,485
63 Frost Bank 3.08% 1,232
64 Oriental Bank 3.08% 1,427
65 Beacon Bank and Trust 3.09% 5,432
66 Newtek Small Business Finance, Inc. 3.18% 8,404
67 Pinnacle Bank 3.19% 3,609
68 Arvest Bank 3.24% 2,069
69 Regions Bank 3.26% 2,727
70 Wilmington Savings Fund Society FSB 3.26% 1,812
71 Peoples Bank 3.27% 2,168
72 Truist Bank 3.29% 8,887
73 Hanmi Bank 3.42% 2,953
74 First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company 3.43% 1,924
75 First Interstate Bank 3.43% 2,157
76 Gulf Coast Bank and Trust Company 3.44% 1,630
77 BankVista 3.44% 1,047
78 First Bank 3.46% 1,906
79 UMB Bank, National Association 3.52% 2,982
80 Fifth Third Bank 3.55% 7,543
81 Fulton Bank, National Association 3.57% 2,214
82 Zions Bank, A Division of 3.58% 10,291
83 Busey Bank 3.60% 1,139
84 U.S. Bank, National Association 3.66% 42,971
85 Customers Bank 3.74% 1,229
86 The Bancorp Bank National Association 3.78% 1,825
87 Ameris Bank 3.80% 1,946
88 Capital Bank, National Association 3.83% 1,148
89 NBT Bank, National Association 3.90% 1,384
90 BankUnited, National Association 4.00% 1,699
91 OakStar Bank 4.04% 1,188
92 Community Bank of Mississippi 4.23% 1,278
93 Bank of Hope 4.37% 8,015
94 Trustmark Bank 4.37% 1,098
95 Columbia Bank 4.58% 10,885
96 Renasant Bank 4.79% 1,294
97 Capital One, National Association 4.81% 1,476
98 Five Star Bank 4.84% 3,803
99 Santander Bank, National Association 4.84% 3,535
100 The Bank of Princeton 4.93% 1,096
101 Byline Bank 5.14% 6,305
102 Eastern Bank 5.30% 9,608
103 Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company 5.43% 26,296
104 JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association 5.52% 43,841
105 First National Bank of Pennsylvania 5.85% 2,904
106 Wells Fargo Bank National Association 5.94% 56,658
107 PNC Bank, National Association 6.31% 18,834
108 Midwest Regional Bank 6.33% 1,486
109 Community Trust Bank, Inc. 6.38% 1,222
110 Central Pacific Bank 6.69% 1,524
111 FirstBank Puerto Rico 6.87% 1,208
112 Seacoast National Bank 7.45% 1,262
113 United Midwest Savings Bank National Association 7.73% 7,142
114 Stearns Bank National Association 8.00% 5,140
115 BayFirst National Bank 8.05% 13,744
116 Simmons Bank 8.34% 4,066
117 TD Bank, National Association 8.52% 32,645
118 Celtic Bank Corporation 9.38% 13,886
119 CDC Small Business Finance Corp. 10.54% 2,581
120 VelocitySBA, LLC 14.16% 6,009

2. Smaller loans charge off far more often

Charge-off rates fall steadily as loan size rises, from 5.9% on loans under $50k down to 0.7% on the largest loans. Bigger loans tend to go to more established businesses with more collateral, which the data reflects.

Under $50k 5.9% · 214,425 loans
$50k to $150k 4.4% · 223,809 loans
$150k to $350k 4.1% · 195,671 loans
$350k to $1M 2.5% · 174,070 loans
$1M to $5M 1.7% · 107,409 loans
$5M and up 0.7% · 4,345 loans

3. Industry matters a lot

Charge-off rates vary widely by sector. Transportation and Warehousing loans charge off at 5.6%, about 2 times the rate of Health Care and Social Assistance (2.4%). Sectors shown have at least 2,000 loans.

Transportation and Warehousing 5.6% · 50,354 loans
Wholesale Trade 5.0% · 44,743 loans
Arts, Entertainment, Recreation 4.6% · 29,194 loans
Retail Trade 4.5% · 120,902 loans
Information 4.3% · 10,044 loans
Construction 4.3% · 104,734 loans
Accommodation and Food Services 4.2% · 118,454 loans
Educational Services 4.1% · 13,250 loans
Mining and Extraction 4.0% · 2,212 loans
Administrative and Support 3.9% · 46,311 loans

4. The interest rate barely predicts default

You might expect higher-rate loans to default more. In this data they do not: the correlation between a 7(a) loan's initial note rate and whether it charged off is about -0.002, essentially zero. Note rate alone is not a risk signal here, and what little pattern exists is confounded by loan age (the highest rates are on the newest, least-seasoned loans).

7(a) note rateCharge-off rateLoans
Under 5% 1.6% 81,569
5% to 7% 4.1% 398,601
7% to 9% 5.8% 187,806
9% to 11% 3.5% 161,795
11% and up 2.5% 89,856

5. When charge-offs happen: almost never in year one

The question a struggling borrower actually asks is not "what predicts a charge-off" but "when does it happen, and how common is it really". To answer it honestly we need cohorts that have lived long enough: the 8 approval years FY2010–FY2017, whose 433,488 7(a) loans have each been observable for at least 8 full years as of 2026-03-31. In those mature cohorts, 23,894 loans (5.51%) have charged off to date, and the timing is strikingly consistent: almost no loan charges off in its first year (0.7% of charge-offs), the median charge-off among those occurring within 8 years lands 4.3 years after approval, and the single most dangerous year is year 4. Years 2 through 6 account for 75.7% of all charge-offs that occur within 8 years.

Share of mature-cohort charge-offs (those occurring within 8 years of approval) by years since approval:

Year 1 0.7% · 154 loans · cumulative 0.04% of cohort
Year 2 10.1% · 2,105 loans · cumulative 0.52% of cohort
Year 3 16.2% · 3,378 loans · cumulative 1.30% of cohort
Year 4 17.3% · 3,599 loans · cumulative 2.13% of cohort
Year 5 16.6% · 3,447 loans · cumulative 2.93% of cohort
Year 6 15.5% · 3,228 loans · cumulative 3.67% of cohort
Year 7 12.6% · 2,628 loans · cumulative 4.28% of cohort
Year 8 11.0% · 2,281 loans · cumulative 4.80% of cohort

A timing caveat that works in the borrower's favor: the charge-off date is the accounting endpoint, recorded only after workout attempts, liquidation, and the SBA guarantee purchase have run their course. The underlying payment trouble typically starts well before the dates charted here, and there is a long tail after them too: 3,068 mature-cohort charge-offs ( 12.8% of dated ones) happened more than 8 years after approval.

The cohort table, censoring shown, not hidden

Each row is an approval-year cohort; each column is the cumulative share of that cohort charged off within that many years of approval. A blank cell means the cohort has not yet been observable that long as of 2026-03-31, so the number does not exist yet. This is why a young cohort's low rate is not good news in itself: the FY2024 cohort's 0.62% to date is mostly youth, not underwriting.

Cohort Loans By yr 1By yr 2By yr 3By yr 5By yr 8 To date
FY2010 47,000 0.03% 0.84% 1.70% 3.41% 5.20% 6.14%
FY2011 53,710 0.04% 0.45% 1.12% 2.47% 3.99% 4.79%
FY2012 44,374 0.02% 0.35% 1.00% 2.25% 3.89% 4.64%
FY2013 46,395 0.04% 0.35% 0.88% 2.16% 3.68% 4.53%
FY2014 52,044 0.05% 0.45% 1.02% 2.68% 4.35% 5.15%
FY2015 63,461 0.04% 0.40% 1.25% 3.06% 4.93% 5.59%
FY2016 64,074 0.03% 0.62% 1.66% 3.24% 5.48% 6.07%
FY2017 62,430 0.04% 0.68% 1.60% 3.76% 6.24% 6.66%
FY2018 60,354 0.10% 0.75% 1.46% 4.12% 6.79%
FY2019 51,907 0.05% 0.37% 1.33% 3.42% 5.50%
FY2020 42,298 0.00% 0.18% 0.70% 2.22% 3.12%
FY2021 51,856 0.01% 0.19% 0.64% 2.11%
FY2022 47,678 0.06% 0.58% 1.67% 2.99%
FY2023 57,362 0.04% 0.83% 2.40%
FY2024 70,242 0.04% 0.62%
FY2025 78,078 0.02%
FY2026 (partial) 26,466 0.00%

Two things worth reading off this table. First, the curves are stable: every mature cohort crosses roughly half of its lifetime-to-date rate during year five, occasionally year six. Second, the pandemic-era cohorts are aging unusually well at the same age: four years in, the FY2021 cohort sits at 1.39% versus 2.50% for FY2017 at the same point. FY 2026 is a partial year (the file is a mid-year snapshot).

Where the whole book stands right now

The same file records a servicing status for every 7(a) loan as of 2026-03-31. Of the 919,729 7(a) loans approved since FY2010, 30,334 (3.30%) are currently in some recorded stage of distress short of charge-off: delinquent, past due, in liquidation, or with the guarantee already purchased by the SBA. Status codes are shown exactly as the SBA records them.

Status codeMeaningLoansShare
P I F paid in full 453,666 49.33%
CURR current 259,455 28.21%
CANCLD cancelled 112,406 12.22%
CHGOFF charged off 36,512 3.97%
COMMIT approved, not disbursed 23,772 2.58%
PURCH(NOT C/O) guarantee purchased by SBA, not charged off 13,891 1.51%
LIQUID in liquidation 8,326 0.91%
DELINQ delinquent 5,467 0.59%
CLSLN as coded in the FOIA file 2,853 0.31%
PSTDUE past due 2,650 0.29%
DEFERD payments deferred 730 0.08%
SOLDNC as coded in the FOIA file 1 0.00%

This table also makes the denominator visible: every rate on this page divides by all 7(a) records in the file, including cancelled and never-disbursed approvals, the same convention used across this site. And when a loan does charge off, the loss is usually most of the loan: across the 36,497 charge-offs reporting an amount, the median write-off equals 81.7% of the original approval (quartiles 58.6% to 95.5%), $5.5B written off in total since FY2010.

If you are reading this because your own loan is slipping, the numbers above are the honest base rate: distress is real but rare, and it is a years-long process with exits, not a cliff. The step-by-step of what actually happens, workout to liquidation to guarantee purchase to offer in compromise, is in our guide: what happens if you default on an SBA loan.

External data point: COVID EIDL is a different, worse story. The figures below are not from our FOIA dataset (which covers 7(a) and 504 loans); they are the SBA Inspector General's audited figures on pandemic Economic Injury Disaster Loans, cited here for contrast. As of December 18, 2024, the SBA had charged off 369,588 COVID EIDLs with original balances over $25,000, totaling over $47 billion, and was attempting to collect on another 96,745 COVID EIDLs totaling $14.7 billion that were 90 or more days delinquent, figures that exclude loans with confirmed or suspected fraud. Less than 1 percent of original loan amounts were recovered in liquidation. Source: SBA's Collection Efforts on Delinquent COVID-19 EIDLs , SBA Office of Inspector General, Report 25-23, August 12, 2025.

What this means for owners

Charge-off rate is one lens on a lender's book, not a verdict on any single business. If you run a smaller or higher-risk-sector business, expect more scrutiny and lean on lenders that are active in your industry. Compare lenders by track record in the best-lenders ranking, and see how lending has shifted over time in Trends.

Method, sources, and disclaimer. Charge-off rate is the share of loans marked charged off, computed over the full public SBA FOIA 7(a) and 504 datasets (as of 2026-03-31); see our methodology. Loan-size and industry buckets are mutually exclusive; the rate analysis covers 7(a) loans with a recorded note rate. The lender leaderboard covers major lenders only (1,000+ funded 7(a) loans) and lender names are not normalized across mergers or rebrands. Charge-off timing is computed per loan from ApprovalDate to ChargeOffDate; of 36,512 charged-off 7(a) loans, 36,498 carry usable dates and 14 were excluded (missing or inconsistent dates). Cohort cells are reported only for fully observable years (right-censoring is shown as blank, never extrapolated). Recent vintages understate lifetime charge-off rates, and correlation is not causation. The COVID EIDL figures in the boxed callout are external Inspector General data, not derived from this dataset. SBA Loan Index is not affiliated with the SBA and is not a lender, broker, or financial advisor.

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Cite this analysis

Mario Bailey. (2026). What predicts an SBA loan charge-off?. SBA Loan Index. https://sbaloanindex.com/studies/sba-charge-off-patterns/

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